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Rankings / Tomás Vidal
Tomás Vidal ESSpain · 20 · right-handed · Rank 214 · Potential 79

Ranking trajectory & 24-month forecast

100200300400Top 1002024-072025-072026-072027-072028-07Now #214Median #140
Official ranking (actual) Forecast interval (80%) Dashed = Top 100 threshold

Key signals

  • True level ~62 places ahead of the official ranking. Opponent-adjusted strength (surface-split Elo) maps to roughly No. 152 — historically this signal leads the ranking by 6–12 months.
  • Age–ranking cohort: 37% historical breakout rate. Of players historically ranked 214 at age 20, 37% reached the Top 100 within 24 months.
  • Top 10% level-transition speed. 1 Challenger title in the past 52 weeks; transition pace benchmarked against his cohort.
  • Form: 64% rolling 52-week win rate. 1–2 against Top 100 opponents.
  • Risk: Surface concentration. 78% of matches on clay; ranking runway depends on converting the European clay calendar.

Commercial profile

Spain49%
Argentina12%
Mexico9%
Other30%

37k Instagram followers, +18% in 90 days. Young Spanish clay-courter with a rising domestic following — an early, low-cost entry into the Spanish market.

Suggested package (sample pricing)

Sleeve patch (year-round event exposure)$8,000 / yr
Social bundle (2 posts + stories monthly)$4,000 / yr
Gear branding (bag + cap)$2,000 / yr

Package reference price $14,000 / yr — if he reaches the Top 100 within 24 months (model probability 44%), equivalent exposure typically resells at $150,000+ / yr.

Option-style terms Sign now at $14,000/yr for 2 years; the pre-agreed escalator renews at $42,000/yr if he enters the Top 100 (equivalent exposure resells at $150k+). The escalation odds are the model's own 44%. How these terms work →

Next step

Request brand access to open deal flow on this player, or email hello@agentennis.com.

Methodology Track record Pricing For players Request access hello@agentennis.com

Methodology — Targets are calibrated probabilities of reaching the ATP Top 100 within 12/24 months. Training data: tour, Challenger and ITF results plus weekly rankings since 1990. Backtests are strictly time-sliced; training always ends before the prediction window opens.

Preview build — players, figures, probabilities and prices shown are illustrative sample data.

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